Patch Democrats Polled: Barack Obama Would Not Win Missouri

The latest 'Blue Arch' survey of activist Democrats asked respondents about the presidential race, the Akin-McCaskill U.S. Senate contest and what Democrats should do to counter a possible post-convention bounce for Mitt Romney.

If the election were held today, President Barack Obama would not carry the Show-Me State.

That's the biggest finding in the latest Patch 'Blue Arch' survey of current and former Democratic party officials and activists, taken between August 27-30. Just over 50 people were surveyed and 31 responded using an automated survey tool.

When asked, to describe their state of agreement with the question: If the election were held today, Barack Obama would carry the state of Missouri, 41.9 percent said they somewhat disagreed, while 22.6 completely disagreed.

While some observers wondered if the fallout from GOP U.S. Senate candidate Todd Akin's remarks about  might help put Missouri back in play nationally, most polls show Mitt Romney does maintain a lead over President Obama here.

Other Findings:

  • When asked if they believed Rep. Akin would remain as Senator Claire McCaskill's Republican opponent without a GOP-affiliated independent candidacy, 71 percent said they agreed in some way.
  • 77.4 percent of those polled said if the Senate election were held today, they completely agreed McCaskill would defeat Akin. The rest of those surveyed (22.6 percent) said they Somewhat agreed.

Patch asked Democrats what they'd advise the Obama campaign to do to counter a possible post-convention bounce for the Romney/Ryan ticket. Here were some of their suggestions:

Give specific facts and figures

Have a complete recovery plan

Keep reaching out to voters that are any flavor besides rich white folks

Talk about Ryan budget, rape tax cuts for wealthy , out of touch Romney

Let Obama do what he does best which is relate to his constituency. The addition of Bill Clinton will help bolster the Democratic economic credentials. Also, a clear attempt at firming up the Hispanic vote would make a Romney victory much less likely.


About The Red Arch/Blue Arch Surveys

Patch political surveys are not a scientific random sample of any larger population, but rather an effort to listen to a swath of influential local Republican and Democratic activists, party leaders and elected officials in Missouri. All of these individuals have agreed to participate in the surveys, although not all responded to this week's questions. 

Patch will be conducting Red Arch and Blue Arch surveys throughout 2012 in hopes of determining the true sentiment of conservatives, liberals and moderates on the ground in Missouri.

If you are an activist, party leader or elected official and would like to take part in a bi-weekly survey that lasts just a few minutes, please email Gregg.Palermo@patch.com.

Blue Arch Roster

Blue Arch Roster: Shelley Welsch (University City Mayor), Jake Zimmerman (St. Louis County Assessor), Bert Boxerman (Creve Coeur Township Committeeman), Tracy McCreery (State Representative), Jeanne Antoine (Olivette City Council), Missy Waldman (Olivette City Council), Richard Callow (PR Strategist), John Callahan (Committeeman for St. Charles County Township), Julie Biermann (Committeewoman for St. Charles County Township), Charissa Mayes (Committeewoman for St. Charles County Township), Jerry Daugherty (St. Charles County Councilman), Keith English (Florissant City Councilman/State Rep. candidate), Mary Elizabeth Dorsey (Florissant Township Committeewoman), Chuck Banks (Former Jefferson County Executive), Jo Ann Karll (DNC Convention delegate), Mary Broida (Fenton Committeewoman), Bob Usher (Voter), Tammy Vent (Rock Township Committeewoman), LaDonna Appelbaum (Convention Delegate), Timothy Green (State Senator), Gina Mitten (Richmond Heights Councilmember/State Rep. Candidate), Jill Schupp (State Representative), Jim Descher (Voter), Ken Curtis (West County Democrats Co-Chair), Steve Biggs (Meramec Township Committeeman), John Niemeyer (Meramec Township), Jim Frain  (Voter), Julie Dougherty (Voter), Linda Robson (Voter), Jim McHugh (Aide to former St. Louis County Executive), Molly McHugh (St. Louis County Planning Commission), Bob Burns (Affton School Board), Mark Powell (Former Arnold Mayor), John Messmer (Former DNC alternative delegate), Karl Frank, Jr. (Former Mehlville School Board Member/Activist), Donna Seidel (activist), Tom Diehl (Former School Board Member/Activist), Jim Barrett (Activist), Harvey Ferdman (Maryland Heights Township 2nd VP), Rod Jennings (University City School Board Member), Jane Dueker (Former Assistant AG/Chief of Staff To Governor Bob Holden), Gina Walsh (State Senate Candidate), Morton Todd (St. Charles County Democratic Committee Chairman), Mary "Kate" Laughlin (Voter), Rod Hoffman (State Rep. Candidate), Beverly Cowling (Voter), Bill Stinson (State Rep.), Russ Craven (blogger), Theresa Borchert (Voter), Jim Karll (Voter), Jeff Wagener (Former St. Louis County Councilman), Pat Dolan (St. Louis County Council), Stacey Newman (State Representative), Cheryl Hibbeler (Former St. Charles County Council Representative), Deb Lavender (State Rep. Candidate), Kevin O'Malley (Fundraiser/Alternate Convention Delegate), Susan Meredith (State Rep. candidate), Susan Montee (Lt. Governor candidate), Bob Burns (State Rep. Candidate)

Devon Seddon September 13, 2012 at 06:03 PM
The broken economy started with Clinton whether you like it or not. Fair Housing Regulatory Act nearly crashed the economy when Carter tried it, then Clinton reinstituted it even moreso, crashing banks, crashing the housing market (from which all homeowners are still suffering), FORCING banks to loan over a trillion dollars to people who couldn't pay, then buying those worthless loans a minimum of TWICE with taxpayer dollars. The practice of leaving a mess for someone else to clean-up (your grandchildren in this case), has become the only real "staple" of the Democratic Party. Just like Clinton, this President is doing the same thing with all of the new taxes that will go into effect when (potentially) someone else will be blamed for them when they fail, or they will have to spend all of their time undoing them. It's unfortunate, but you don't have even the slightest understanding of how we got in this economic situation. Over-taxing & over-regulating; basically chasing jobs either out of business, or out of the country, hasn't helped those people you claim to be "saving", it's crippled them, and has also managed to add 3% more of the population into that "needy" (Democrat voter-pool) category. "A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul." - George Bernard Shaw As for the Tea-Party comments, why is it you don't believe the government should be accountable with YOUR money? Why is it ok to CRIMINALLY ignore passing a budget?
Devon Seddon September 13, 2012 at 06:29 PM
“The American people will never knowingly adopt socialism. But under the name of Liberalism, they will adopt every fragment of the socialist program until one day America will be a socialist nation without knowing how it happened.” - Norman Thomas Socialist Party presidential candidate in 1940, 1944 & 1948.
Joseph Robert September 17, 2012 at 01:03 PM
Foreign Policy Achievements President Obama: • Killed Osama Bin Laden • Ended Iraq War • Killed more Al Qaeda leaders than any other President • Supported "Arab Spring" uprising Mitt Romney • None Mitt Romney: NO foreign policy experience in a very DANGEROUS world!
Devon Seddon September 18, 2012 at 06:06 PM
Obama didn't kill Osama Bin Laden. He was even opposed to going after him in the first place, now he's got you tools calling him a hero. PLUS, nearly jeopardized the operation by giving away military secrets. He didn't end the war, it was over, as a matter of fact, he started another one in Afghanistan. The top 4 Al Qaeda leaders were dead before he even became President. You haven't gotten a single campaign promise from the man. You got 53% more unemployment though, hang you hat on that. By your logic, he must've also caused the recent Embassy Attacks, since he's so responsible for everything. You obviously have no use for truth, you seem to prefer erroneous campaign claims, all lacking any facts to back them up.
Sensible? I think so September 18, 2012 at 06:54 PM
Peter Bergen or Devon Seddon, who to believe? Bergen: "pile of poppycock served up with heaps of hogwash" Seddon: "this is a 'Christian Nation'" http://www.cnn.com/2012/08/29/opinion/bergen-obama-osama-books/index.html


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